THEWILL 2019 Presidential Election Projection

With the presidential election just days away, we present THEWILL 2019 Presidential Election Projection premised on how our analysts think eligible Nigerian voters will cast their votes nationwide this Saturday in a poll that has narrowed to a two-way race between incumbent President Muhammadu Buhari of the APC and former Vice President Atiku Abubakar of the PDP.

Our analysts took into consideration the dynamics of this year’s poll (Both Atiku and Buhari have very high unfavourable numbers and are hardly the favourites amongst voters; they are in their 70s; Muslims; and are Fulanis from northern Nigeria). Buhari is roundly perceived to be slow, looks less capable and governs in an uninspiring style, but has his integrity and his good intentions for the country as his main selling point.

On the other hand, the thinking is that Atiku, the wealthy businessman and former top Customs officer, will do better on the fragile economy and govern in a more robust style, but he has been unable to shake off the perception of corruption and impropriety that his dogged his political career and raised eye brows about his wealth.

THEWILL analysts also took into consideration the strength of the two candidates and their parties in previous elections from 2003 – 2015.


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